William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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TRUMP SOARS – AT 9:54 A.M. ET:   It really can't be denied.  Donald Trump is making an impression, at least this week.  From The Hill:

Media coverage of Donald Trump's controverisal immigration remarks have lifted the GOP presidential candidate to the top of the Republican field, according to a new Economist/YouGov poll.

Trump was the preferred GOP nominee for president for 15 percent of respondents — 4 points ahead of former Gov. Jeb Bush (Fla.) and Sen. Rand Paul (Ky.), who were tied for second place.

Gov. Scott Walker (Wis.), Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and former Gov. Mike Huckabee (Ark.) shared the third spot with 9 percent each.

In addition to being the first choice for the majority of likely voters who participated in the poll, Trump was also the primary second choice for those who preferred another candidate as their nominee.

12 percent of respondents said Trump was second in line for their vote, while only 7 percent picked either Bush or Paul as their safety candidate.

While Trump may be on top this week, registered Republican voters gave him a very weak chance of holding on to that spot in the long run.

The vast majority of respondents — 29 percent — said they believed Jeb Bush would ultimately claim the GOP presidential nomination. Only 7 percent said the same about Trump.

Unlike other polling companies, YouGov relies on a preselected pool of registered voters from which it pulls respondents at random.

COMMENT:  It's July, it's summer, and this is the political news we get.  It's very early.  I hope that the Trump boomlet dies down because I believe he's unelectable, even if often right.  The Dems, and their friends in the media, will do what they can to keep Trump going because they think he's a distraction who can only hurt the GOP, and they may well be correct.

When you start seeing candidates reaching 30 or 40 percent in the polls, then we'll talk seriously about numbers.  That's months away.

July 10,  2015